ISLAMABAD: Turkish intelligence chief Ibrahim Kalin has issued a chilling warning that the US-Israeli war on Iran will not stop at dismantling nuclear facilities but is deliberately engineered to ignite decades of fratricidal bloodshed among Turks, Kurds, Arabs and Persians.

Speaking at the STRATCOM Summit 2026 in Istanbul, Kalin declared the one who lit this war’s fire has no intention of halting at Iran’s borders.

His explicit aim is to pit the region’s founding ethnic groups against one another in a prolonged conflict that could last generations.

Kalin, head of Türkiye’s National Intelligence Organisation, described the strategy as one of the most dangerous calculated outcomes of the campaign that began on 28 February 2026.

He stressed Türkiye has mounted intense diplomatic efforts to prevent the war from emerging and spreading further.

Yet the conflict risks becoming a global crisis for which eight billion people will pay the price.

Official figures paint a grim picture of human cost already inflicted.

Human rights monitors report more than 3,400 people killed since strikes commenced, including over 1,500 civilians in Iran alone.

Iran’s Health Ministry has confirmed at least 1,200 civilian deaths while independent tallies place the figure higher.

Up to 3.2 million Iranians have been temporarily displaced according to UNHCR data.

Hospitals, schools and heritage sites have suffered extensive damage.

In neighbouring areas Lebanese authorities count 1,238 killed in related Israeli strikes.

The economic fallout is equally staggering and immediate.

Brent crude oil prices surged past 110 dollars per barrel marking a 40 percent jump from pre-war levels around 75 dollars.

The closure of the Strait of Hormuz which handles one fifth of global oil and significant LNG volumes has triggered supply shocks.

Qatar’s LNG export capacity dropped 17 percent after Iranian strikes on key facilities.

Global GDP growth for 2026 could shrink by 0.3 percent if prices remain elevated the World Trade Organisation warned.

Europe as a heavy energy importer faces at least one percent lower growth.

Gulf economies are projected to contract sharply with Kuwait and Qatar potentially losing 14 percent of GDP this year.

Kalin highlighted that beyond immediate destruction the war lays groundwork for long-term ethnic fragmentation.

Deliberate steps are being taken to fuel blood feuds among Turks Kurds Arabs and Persians he said.

These groups form the foundational fabric of the Middle East.

Türkiye has never been and never will be a party that fuels the fire of discord Kalin emphasised.

If necessary we will take the fireball in our hands and cool it on our chest but we will never throw it into the flames.

Regional analysts note the warning comes amid rapid escalation.

Iranian retaliation has targeted Gulf infrastructure and shipping lanes heightening fears of wider involvement.

Pakistan and other Muslim nations have expressed concern over the humanitarian and strategic implications.

The conflict has already disrupted global supply chains and inflated energy costs worldwide.

Experts project that prolonged fighting could push oil prices toward 130 dollars or higher in coming months.

Such levels would exacerbate inflation and slow economic recovery across developing countries.

Kalin’s remarks underscore Türkiye’s commitment to regional stability and dialogue.

Ankara continues to advocate for immediate cessation of hostilities and negotiated solutions.

The intelligence chief called for truth-based communication to counter narratives that deepen divisions.

As the war enters its second month the human and economic toll mounts daily.

More than 26,000 people have been injured in Iran according to preliminary health reports.

World Heritage sites including historic squares and mosques in Isfahan have sustained damage prompting UNESCO appeals for protection.

The risk of broader ethnic conflict adds a dangerous new dimension.

Kalin warned that calculated efforts seek to transform temporary military gains into permanent societal fractures.

Türkiye remains on full alert ready to contribute to de-escalation.

The statement has reverberated across regional media outlets amplifying calls for restraint.

International observers note the unique position of Turkish intelligence in assessing these risks.

The potential for decades-long instability threatens not only the Middle East but global security.

Kalin’s address serves as both warning and plea for collective action before it is too late.

The coming weeks will determine whether diplomacy can extinguish the flames or if the region descends into deeper chaos.