*TEHRAN: *Analysts fear a wider Middle Eastern war is brewing between Iranand its rivals, Israel and Saudi Arabia, warning that their failure tounderstand each other’s intentions threatens to tear the region apart.

“We will not allow Iranian entrenchment in Syria, no matter the price topay,” Israeli Defence Minister Avigdor Lieberman declared this month. Hiscomments followed air strikes on Syria’s T-4 airbase, which killed sevenIranian personnel.

Israel did not claim responsibility, but the raid was widely seen as itsfirst direct attack on Iranian assets and a worrying sign of how Syria’sseven-year conflict could escalate into a wider regional war.

The Middle East is mired in what the International Crisis Group calls adangerous “gap in perceptions that has locked Iran and its rivals in anescalatory spiral of proxy fights that is destroying the region”.

With Iranian-backed militias entrenched in Iraq, Syria and Lebanon, Iran’srivals worry it is seeking to dominate the region and gather forces for anattack on Israel.

But the ICG said Iran sees quite the opposite, “a region dominated bypowers with superior military capabilities”, and only supported the Syriangovernment because it feared losing one of its few allies and beingencircled by jihadist forces.

Many Iranians find the idea they are the destabilising force in the regionhard to stomach, given recent actions by Saudi Arabia.

“It’s not Iran who imprisons foreign prime ministers like Saudi Arabiadoes,” University of Tehran professor Mohammad Marandi told *AFP*,referring to Lebanese premier Saad Hariri who announced his resignationfrom Riyadh last year, followed by a lengthy stay in the Saudi capital.

“And in Yemen, despite three years of imposing starvation and war withWestern help, the Saudis have failed to gain any significant victory,”Marandi added.

“They engage in war, they kidnap prime ministers and they spread Wahhabiextremism… and somehow Iran is the one portrayed as pursuing some sort ofexpansionist policy.”

The Saudi position on Iran can appear contradictory.

Crown Prince Mohammad Bin Salman told *CBS News* last month that Iran’sarmy and economy were greatly inferior to those of the Sunni kingdom, buthe also presents Shiite-dominated Iran as seeking control of the wholeregion.

“Critics may downplay Saudi concerns about Iranian expansionism, accusingRiyadh of ‘seeing an Iranian behind every tree’,” said Ali Shihabi,director of the pro-Saudi, Washington-based think tank, Arabia Foundation.

“But… one by one the Saudis watched as (Iran’s) proxy forces captured theirneighbours: Lebanon, Iraq, Syria,” he told *AFP*.

Iran’s position has its own contradictions.

It says it will never initiate conflict with Israel, but its supreme leaderAyatollah Ali Khamenei has warned the “Zionist regime” will not exist in 25years.

Marandi, at the University of Tehran, says this is not a threat of militaryaction.

“Iran has never, despite all the Western media misinformation, threatenedto initiate conflict with the Israeli regime, despite the fact it sees itas illegitimate in the same way as apartheid South Africa,” said Marandi.

“The threat to Israel has nothing to do with Iranian military might. It hasto do with increasingly being seen as illegitimate by many of itsinternational friends.”

That was rejected by Dore Gold, Israel’s former United Nations ambassador,who said Iran’s leaders amounted to a “really aggressive ideologicalmovement” with a “very difficult attitude when it comes to Jews”.

Iran has “been building bases in Syria for ground troops,” he said.Combined with Tehran’s Lebanese ally Hezbollah, that represents “apermanent direct threat to Israel”.

Adding to uncertainty over each player’s intentions are their vastlydifferent military capabilities.

Saudi Arabia has the latest Western hardware and spent five times more thanIran on defence in 2016, according to the Stockholm International PeaceResearch Institute.

Israel also has the ultimate deterrent: nuclear weapons.

That has forced Iran to use proxy forces in the hope that they can attackits opponents without triggering a direct conflict. But this has only addedto the perception that it is quietly destabilising its neighbours fromwithin.

Finding a way to rebuild trust looks near-impossible when the key playerslack any forum for discussions or even basic diplomatic relations.

On a trip to Washington this week, Iran’s Foreign Minister Mohammad JavadZarif called for a “regional dialogue forum… so we can talk to each other,not about each other”.

But Iran’s opponents dismiss him as the friendly face of a regime that iscomplicit in mass slaughter in Syria and is masking its true intentions.

Nonetheless, many feel that continuing to exclude Iran from regionaldecision-making is unsustainable.

“Iran should recognise that the more its military doctrine promotesexpeditionary warfighting, the more it will prompt aggressive pushback byits adversaries,” the ICG report said.

But “Iran is an integral part of the region and cannot be excised from it.“Iran will need to be more systematically engaged by its neighbours (and bythe US) on regional issues such as the future of Yemen, Syria or Iraq.” -APP/AFP