ISLAMABAD – A Switzerland-based multinational investment bank has publisheda report predicting the win of Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf (PTI) in generalelections scheduled to held on July 25.
The bank, Credit Suisse, in its detailed report ‘Pakistan Market Strategy’,has given the details of the elections scenarios and the possibility ofImran Khan led Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf forming a government throughcoalition and alliance.
Here are the election scenarios:
•PTI with MQM, PSP & Others (60% Probability)
•PTI with PPP, MQM, PSP & others (15% Probability)
•PML-N with PPP, religious parties and independent candidates (25%Probability)
*PTI-led coalition with MQM, PSP and others*
The report expects
PTI 92 seatsPML N 73,PPP 34,GDA 28Independents 24
in the National Assembly and eye a 60pc probability of the PTI partyforming a coalition government.
*PTI-led setup with PPP, MQM, PSP and others*
In this case, PTI chairman Imran Khan may have to look towards the PakistanPeoples Party to shore up the numbers, but the odds of this are low that is15pc.
*PML-N led alliance with PPP, religious parties and independent candidates*
The third case suggests PML-N can secure 73 seats (27pc) and in the eventthat the PTI fails to stitch together an alliance, the party can putforward its own coalition that has a probability of 25pc.
Earlier, Gallup’s Pakistan chapter suggested in its survey that entangledin legal battles and internal conflict, the embattled Pakistan MuslimLeague Nawaz is losing ground in the run-up to the upcoming elections.
According to research organization which conducts surveys to judge thepublic opinion, Pakistan Muslim League Nawaz saw a reduction in voterstrend in the last year as it has dropped to 26 percent in 2018, compared to34 percent in the last year.