LAHORE – Various nationwide surveys carried out by research organisationsand publications reveal that ‘no party will win a majority in the July 25elections’.
In order to gain a majority, a party needs 137 of the 272 elected NationalAssembly seats. Moreover, 70 seats for women and minorities are awardedproportionally based on the voting percentages.
According to the surveys conducted it is safe to say that there is aneck-to-neck competition between Imran Khan led Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf(PTI) and Pakistan Muslim League-Nawaz (PML-N). Although, there is a threeper cent possibility of error in all the following surveys that wereconducted.
A survey by Pulse Consultants shows that PTI is ahead by 30 per cent,whereas PML-N is at 27 per cent. Similarly, Herald Magazine surveyindicated PTI ahead by 29 per cent and PMl-N at 25 per cent.
Similarly, these surveys reflect that Pakistan People’s Party (PPP) led byBilawal Bhutto did not manage to secure as many seats as the other twomainstream parties, thus ranking mostly below them along with otherpolitical parties.
Pulse Consultant survey shows PPP at 17 per cent whereas the otherpolitical parties ahead by 26 per cent; whereas, the Herald Magazine surveyshows the other parties ahead of PPP by 26 per cent and 20 per cent,respectively.
Having said that, Gallup Pakistan survey indicated a twist with theirresults as the ‘other’ political parties top the survey with 33 per cent,PML-N with 26 per cent, PTI with 25 per cent and PPP at the bottom with 16per cent.
A survey by Currency Market Associates (CMKA) shows similar results asPulse and Herald where PTI is ahead by 017 seats as compared to PML-N with79. Moreover, other political parties have secured 56 seats and PPP onlymanaged with 30.
Topline and Credit Suisse also indicate PTI ahead with 85-95 seats and 92seats, respectively. PML-N with 80-90 and 73 seats.
The other political parties are ahead with 47-72 and 73 seats as comparedto PPP with 35-40 and 34 seats as per the Topline and Credit Suissesurveys, subsequently.
All these surveys are a clear indicator that none of the parties that arein the run for elections has a majority win, however, they can emerge as acoalition in that case.